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One of the most reliable recession indicators may no longer be reliable

Business Insider - ‎4 hours ago‎
"Given the yield curve's many distortions, a number of clients have asked whether it is still a useful recession indicator.

Russia's debt collectors turn violent as recession leaves 11.5m in debt

The Guardian - ‎9 hours ago‎
But despite owing just £230, Sergei says that he and others have been hounded by bailiffs demanding the money be repaid. Dubbed “vultures of the crisis”, overzealous debt collectors have shot to prominence - a byproduct of a prolonged recession fuelled ...
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How fears about recession could become a self-fulling prophecy

Business Insider - ‎1 hour ago‎
"There is concern that fear of a recession could become self-fulfilling," wrote Brown in a note to clients. "That is, consumers (fearful of losing their jobs) may save more and spend less, and businesses may be reluctant to commit to capital ...
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Goldman's Kostin: Why this isn't a recession

CNBC - ‎Feb 9, 2016‎
The United States can avoid a recession because the U.S. consumer is likely to continue strengthening in the face of what is clearly an industrial recession, David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, said Tuesday. "If the U.S ...
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Techie the most recession-proof job

The Register - ‎10 hours ago‎
Want to survive the next global financial meltdown without being forced to trade your shoes for food? Well, you'd be safest to get a job in tech.
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Banks take the hit as markets point to recession - ‎1 hour ago‎
Because investors fear we are heading for recession. While there are plenty of reasons why investors are shunning banks, such as low interest rates that could fall into negative territory, like Japan's, and make it yet harder for banks to generate a ...
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Cramer: Extreme valuations point to a recession

CNBC - ‎20 hours ago‎
Cramer found some major disparities in the valuations of several stocks that were very intriguing and could be signaling a recession. For instance, American Airlines, United Continental, General Motors and Ford all sell for five times 2016 earnings ...
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'Panic situation': Asian stocks tumble amid fears of new global recession

The Guardian - ‎Feb 8, 2016‎
“The combination of concerns that the United States could be heading toward a recession and the global stock sell-off is curbing risk appetite and is sending investors to the safe-haven yen,” Takuya Takahashi, senior strategist at Daiwa Securities ...
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The recession signal investors may be missing

CNBC - ‎Feb 9, 2016‎
"Taken at face value, this may suggest recession odds are small. However, we argue this logic is flawed because the curve is structurally steep when the Fed Funds rate is close to zero.

50% Chance US Slips Into Recession In Six Months, According To Bond Markets -- TDS

Forbes - ‎4 hours ago‎
(Kitco News) - The R-word is once again rearing its ugly head, this time coming from TD Securities, with analysts saying that markets are pricing in a 50% possibility that the U.S.
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Goldman Sachs sees near-zero risk of UK recession despite market tantrum - ‎Feb 8, 2016‎
“In each case, at least some financial markets were priced for significant recession risk, if not an outright slump,” he said.

Choose Your Own Adventure: Stock Picks For A Recession Or A Recovery

Forbes - ‎Feb 8, 2016‎
With the S&P 500 down nearly 10% year-to-date, the price of oil crumbling and economic growth that slowed to a trickle in the fourth quarter of 2015, many observers - Wall Street and otherwise - are wondering: are we on the cusp of another recession?

A bear market with no recession? Sure

CBS News - ‎6 hours ago‎
Because while the U.S. economy doesn't appear vulnerable to a new recession in the near future -- recent economic data has been, soft but job growth remains strong and consumers are bolstered by cheap gasoline -- the risks of a "nonrecession" bear ...
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La. mired in recession, state economist says

Monroe News Star - ‎3 hours ago‎
Louisiana has fallen into a recession, the Legislative Fiscal Office's chief economist told members of the Revenue Estimating Conference during a bleak forecast at the Capitol Wednesday morning.
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Bank of America sees 25% chance of a US recession in 2016

MarketWatch - ‎Feb 9, 2016‎
“Our quantitative analysis suggests recession risk is rising, but contained,” Martin Mauro, a fixed income strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said in a report.
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Global Recession? What This Key Indicator Says About It

Wall Street Journal - ‎Feb 9, 2016‎
Ten years ago, few people could have told you the difference between Baltic Dry and Canada Dry. Now, in certain circles at least, the former is cited as a barometer for the global economy, which has gone from bubbly and sweet to flat and bitter in the ...

Brazil Analysts Forecast Faster Inflation and Deeper Recession

Bloomberg - ‎5 hours ago‎
Analysts raised their forecast for Brazil's consumer prices this year for the sixth straight time in spite of predicting an even deeper recession. Economists raised their 2016 inflation forecast to 7.56 percent, more than 1 percentage point above the ...
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Barclays outlines how to invest during a recession but doesn't recommend doing it right now

Business Insider - ‎Feb 9, 2016‎
"The consumer staples, health care, and telecom sectors are the best places to hide when the economy is entering a recession, based on our historical analysis. The industries that do best include: 1) food, beverage, and tobacco; 2) household and ...

The Industrial Recession Is Narrow, Meaning No General Recession

Forbes - ‎Feb 9, 2016‎
Industrial production is down, according to the Federal Reserve's latest statistics, but don't conclude that the country as a whole is in recession. Unlike recessionary downturns, the current slide is concentrated in just a few sectors, many related to ...
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Is the U.S. On The Cusp Of A Recession? Multiple Metrics Say No

ValueWalk - ‎29 minutes ago‎
Economists are going back and forth about whether a recession in the U.S. is imminent or not, and this will probably go on until the nation is indeed plunged into one.